Researchers in Finland set out to identify which socioeconomic, family, personal and lifestyle risk factors in the teenage years predict adult alcoholism. They surveyed more than 1,400 16-year-olds, and then followed up with more surveys when the participants were 32 years old.
- Among the boys, the strongest predictors of excessive alcohol use in adulthood included parental divorce, depression, leisure time spent daily among friends, and drunkenness-orientated behavior.
- Among girls, the adolescent predictors of excessive alcohol use in adulthood were drunkenness-orientated drinking and frequent smoking.
- Other factors that predicted excessive use of alcohol in adulthood, were parental social class, school performance, low self-esteem, impulsiveness, poor relationships with parents, poor parental trust, health behavior, dating, and problems with the law.
Writing in the journal Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology, the Helsinki team reported, “early interventions for adolescent substance use and a set of specific psychosocial risk factors should be tailored and evaluated as methods for identifying those at high risk of and preventing excessive alcohol use in adulthood.”
In addition to predicting later-life difficulties, adolescent and teen alcohol abuse can also cause myriad problems in the present, including poor academic performance, health concerns and strained relations with peers and family members.